Forecast Future Listening

Going Viral

Which song will be the next big hit?

Follow the numbers behind rising songs. Choose a growth model and defend a forecast.

Bring this case to your students

The setup

A song’s recent success can look very different depending on which weeks you examine. Students use streaming patterns to build and compare forecasts, then explain why they trust a particular interval or growth rate.

What students do

  1. Read a song’s growth data and compare different time intervals.
  2. Choose a rate and use it to project future performance.
  3. Compare forecasts and explain how model choices affected the result.

What they take with them

Students see that a forecast rests on choices. Good mathematical reasoning includes explaining the assumptions behind a prediction.

A case for your students.

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